Our NFL Betting Editor brings you his top Packers vs. Dolphins predictions and picks for their Week 16 NFL Showdown, which is live Sunday on PKB at 1 p.m. ET.
The Packers (6-8) outscored the visiting Los Angeles Rams 24-12 on “Monday Night Football” to close out Week 15. Green Bay extended their winning streak to two after a five-game skid, keeping their NFC playoff hopes alive.
Miami has lost three straight to fall to 8-6. The Dolphins were edged 32-29 by hosts Buffalo Bills last week as their comeback attempt in the snow failed.
Packers pick vs. Dolphins
- Over 49.5 points to score, @ -110 via BetMGM
- Dolphins winning margin of 1-6 points, +310 via BetMGM
- Raheem Mostert on 72.5 rushing yards, -120 via BetMGM
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Packers vs Dolphins predictions and analysis
The Packers topped 24 points in three straight games, a first this season, and eclipsed 200 yards through the air for the first time since Week 11 in the win over the Rams.
Miami can’t afford to lose as it looks to crack the AFC playoff field. An opportunity to stay in the divisional race overtook the Dolphins last week, and their bottom three foes all have (shaky) playoff chances to enter the home stretch.
Over 49.5 total points scored
After averaging just 17 points in the first two games of its current skid, the Dolphins have rediscovered some kind of groove in Buffalo.
Tua Tagovailoa passed for 234 yards and touchdowns to top threats Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill. On the ground, Raheem Mostert covered 136 yards in 17 races, including a long 67.
Hampered by offensive inconsistencies for much of the season, the Packers have seemed, gurgling, a bit whole in recent weeks. Aaron Rodgers joined receivers Romeo Doubs and Christian Watson nine times for 101 yards against the Rams, while Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon teamed for 197 scrimmage yards and three scores.
The Dolphins, however, have been tough at home, coming into play with a 5-1 mark there. Look for things close but with a high score.
Packers pick vs. Dolphins: Over 49.5 total points scored, @ -110 via BetMGM
Dolphin winning margin from 1 to 6 points
The Dolphins haven’t won since Week 12, when a 30-15 home win over Houston extended their winning streak to five. A fight against Cleveland preceded that, but Miami’s Weeks 6-9 contests were decided by a total of 21 points.
Green Bay knows the nail biters, too, and with its offense showing signs of vitality and the defense sped up after producing five sacks against the Rams, another close, Santa Claus-like game is coming to town.
Packers pick vs. Dolphins: Dolphins winning margin of 1-6 points, +310 via BetMGM
Raheem Mostert on 72.5 rushing yards
Well, give him the floor, actually.
Green Bay’s defense is giving opponents an average of 5 yards per carry, tied for 30th in the NFL, while the 2,084 rushing yards the unit has given up ranks 29th.
It could spell success for Mostert, who performed well at Buffalo as Jeff Wilson Jr. (hip) missed the game with an injury.
Wilson was restricted to practice on Wednesday as Mostert benefited from the veterans’ rest. He will be refreshed and ready to take on Green Bay.
Packers pick vs. Dolphins: Raheem Mostert on 72.5 rushing yards, -120 via BetMGM
Packers vs. Dolphins Odds
Odds courtesy of BetMGM. Correct at time of publication and subject to change.
|Team||propagated||Moneyline||Total points 49.5|
|Packers||(+4) -110||+165||More than -110|
|dolphins||(-4) -110||-200||Less than -110|