Nearly half of Canadians want a federal election in 2023, according to a new Ipsos poll.
While the deadline for the federal election is 2025, the NDP has agreed to keep the minority Liberal government in power until then as long as it abides by the terms of the governance agreement reached between the two parties earlier this year.
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This could explain why, although 49% of Canadians hope for a federal election, a slightly lower number — 43% — said in the Ipsos poll that they actually believe it will happen.
“When we usually go to ask this question in the polls, you find that all opposition voters want an election. The people who vote for the government on the other side don’t necessarily want an election,” Darrell said. Bricker, CEO of Ipsos, in an interview with PKBNEWS.
“I think that’s what we see here. So, yes, there seems to be a strong desire to have an election, even though it’s not expected that there will be one.
However, the desire for federal elections is not even everywhere in the country.
While a majority of respondents in British Columbia, Alberta, Atlantic Canada and Saskatchewan want an election next year, less than half of Ontarians and Quebecers hope to go to the polls in 2023.
“Canadians aren’t hugely eager for an election, especially — interestingly — people in Ontario and Quebec,” Bricker said.
“We just passed an election, so it looks like 2023 could be a stand-pat year in Canadian politics.”
Although, Bricker added, “anything can happen.”
Young Canadians are also much more likely to want to vote next year. Among those 18 to 34, 65% said they want an election, while less than half of those 35 and older said they hope for a federal vote in 2023.
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However, a slim majority of those polled hope that one politician will not run in the next election: Prime Minister Justin Trudeau.
Fifty-four percent of those polled said Trudeau should step down as leader of the Liberal Party in 2023, although only 27% said they thought he would.
That sentiment reflects a “continuous pattern we’ve seen since 2019,” Bricker said.
“They just haven’t gotten back to where they were in 2019 – that absolute darling feeling that Canadians really supported, that’s not what Justin Trudeau is about,” he said.
Still, Trudeau’s approval rating remains at 45% among Canadians who were polled, ahead of Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre, who got an approval rating of 41%.
“There have been a couple of game-changing events lately, in terms of politics in Canada, that probably should have been game-changing – but don’t really seem to have changed it that much,” Bricker said.
“The biggest thing that has happened since the last federal election is that the Conservative Party has a new leader. But when you look at the Conservative Party leader’s numbers in this latest poll, (they’re) not much better than what we’ve seen for his predecessors.
Green Party leader Elizabeth May, who recently returned to lead her party, has a 39% approval rating, while Yves-Francois Blanchet has a 43% approval rating among Quebecers.
People’s Party leader Maxime Bernier’s approval rating is 26%,
The most popular leader in Canada, according to the poll, is NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh. He earned a 53% approval rating — but Bricker warned that, come election time, grassroots NDP leaders don’t typically see that energy translate into voting results.
“As we’ve seen in past elections with NDP leaders, they tend to do well in the polls and they don’t do so well on Election Day,” he said. “So even if they kinda like him, they’re not necessarily ready to vote for him unless something changes.”
PKBNEWS Ipsos proprietary polls are copyrighted. Information and/or data may only be redistributed or republished with full and proper credit and attribution to “PKBNEWS Ipsos”. This survey was conducted between December 14 and 16, 2022 with a sample of 1,004 Canadians aged 18 and over surveyed online. The accuracy of Ipsos online polls is measured using a credibility interval. This poll is accurate to within ±3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20, if all Canadians aged 18 and over had been polled.
© 2022 PKBNEWS, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.